Development and external validation of Indian population-specific Garbhini-GA2 model for estimating gestational age in second and third trimesters

Published in "The Lancet Regional Health - Southeast Asia 2024, Elsevier"
Veerendra P. Gadekar , Nikhita Damaraju , Ashley Xavier , Shambo Basu Thakur , Ramya Vijayram , Bapu Koundinya Desiraju , Sumit Misra , GARBH-Ini Study Group , Nitya Wadhwa , Ashok Khurana , Swati Rathore , Anuja Abraham , Raghunathan Rengaswamy , Santosh Benjamin , Anne George Cherian , Shinjini Bhatnagar , Ramachandran Thiruvengadam , Himanshu Sinha

A large proportion of pregnant women in lower and middle-income countries (LMIC) seek their first antenatal care after 14 weeks of gestation. While the last menstrual period (LMP) is still the most prevalent method of determining gestational age (GA), ultrasound-based foetal biometry is considered more accurate in the second and third trimesters. In LMIC settings, the Hadlock formula, originally developed using data from a small Caucasian population, is widely used for estimating GA and foetal weight worldwide as the pre-programmed formula in ultrasound machines. This approach can lead to inaccuracies when estimating GA in a diverse population. Therefore, this study aimed to develop a population-specific model for estimating GA in the late trimesters that was as accurate as the GA estimation in the first trimester, using data from GARBH-Ini, a pregnancy cohort in a North Indian district hospital, and subsequently validate the model in an independent cohort in South India.